The Fed鈥檚 Adriana Kugler: 鈥業 am cautiously optimistic.鈥
Even in the best of times, the Federal Reserve has an incredibly hard to job. Making sure that prices stay relatively stable is only one part of its mandate.
As Fed Governor Adriana Kugler explained to the audience of leading economists, business leaders, and government officials at the 2024 成人快手 Economic Summit, the other part of the central bank鈥檚 work is to ensure that employment levels remain optimal so that inflation doesn鈥檛 pick up. Juggling the two objectives to keep inflation low, she said, often requires making trade-offs that aren鈥檛 always apparent.
Now is one of those times, she said, and the Fed鈥檚 task has been all the more challenging as the dynamics of employment levels, interest rates and inflation have played out in surprising ways over the past few years.
Kugler suggested that the Fed looks to academic research in moments like this 鈥 when the anticipated trade-offs between higher interest rates and a slowdown in job creation aren鈥檛 happening. And she singled out the 成人快手 Institute for Economic Policy Research for its work over the last 40 years 鈥減roducing sharp analysis鈥 and 鈥渇ostering the kind of constructive dialogue鈥 that makes for better economic policies.

鈥淲e have certainly learned a lot during the pandemic, but there is still much more to learn,鈥 Kugler said in encouraging more research to shed light on today鈥檚 economy.
鈥淏etter understanding the trade-offs, or lack thereof, in pursuing the dual mandate will help researchers and policymakers draw lessons鈥 from this period of high employment amid rising interest rates, said Kugler, a professor of economics and public policy at Georgetown, who became the first Latina to serve on the 7-member Federal Reserve Board of Governors last September. Kugler fills an unexpired term ending in early 2026.
Wealth inequality has declined
On what鈥檚 next for inflation, Kugler told the 成人快手 audience that she is 鈥渃autiously optimistic鈥 that prices will continue to stabilize and employment rates will remain strong.
She also reflected 鈥 in response to a question from Mark Duggan, the Trione Director at 成人快手 and moderator of her keynote appearance 鈥 on another unexpected feature of the economic recovery since the COVID-19 pandemic began: Wages for the most disadvantaged groups 鈥 workers who aren鈥檛 white or college educated 鈥 have grown at a faster rate than any other demographic.
That鈥檚 not usually the case. When economies rebound from a downturn, the people who typically benefit first are those who are already fairly well off.
Rising wages, along with increases in home values, have helped narrow the wealth gap between the richest and poorest Americans, Kugler said.
鈥淥ne of the most striking features of the post-pandemic recovery has been that the groups that have benefited the most during this recovery are the most disadvantaged,鈥 she said.
This matters for the economy, she said, since lower-income workers tend to spend the most by far for every additional dollar they get than wealthier consumers do.
鈥淣ow that鈥檚 all good for the economy,鈥 Kugler said.